Juventus vs. Atalanta BC

Atalanta BC priced at +370 to win away at Juventus is one of the richest prices offered on a genuinely elite-tier Italian club in the entire soccer payload. Atalanta under their current structure have been one of Serie A's most consistently dangerous visiting sides — their high-pressing, possession-based style has historically given them the ability to frustrate and defeat big home clubs including Juventus at the Allianz Stadium. At +370, the implied probability is approximately 21.3%, which feels meaningfully below what Atalanta's actual win probability should be against Juventus in a single match — a more accurate price for a quality Atalanta side away at Juventus should arguably sit closer to +250 to +290 based on competitive Serie A norms. The draw at +270 is also relatively short, suggesting the market anticipates a close, competitive match, yet Atalanta's outright win is priced at +370 — a significant gap. This mispricing between the draw price (+270) and the Atalanta win price (+370) implies that if you agree the match is close and competitive (as the draw price suggests), Atalanta's win probability is being undervalued at that +370 number. As a value play with understood variance, +370 Atalanta to win away at Juventus is the most compelling long-shot value in the soccer portion of the slate.